Fredrikstadvs
Lillestrom
COMPLETEDNorway · Eliteserien · 7/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lillestrom · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Fredrikstad are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Lillestrom are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lillestrom hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (42.9 v 52.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.7% in the Eliteserien, while Lillestrom holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lillestrom
Probability
45.7%
Model confidence
45.7%
Lillestrom has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80