GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/15/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spartak Varna · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Fratria are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Spartak Varna are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartak Varna hold a 26.3-point power-rating edge (44.6 v 70.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Spartak Varna holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Spartak Varna

Probability

47.2%

Model confidence

47.2%

Spartak Varna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FratriaWWDWL

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Spartak VarnaLLLDL

GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FratriaSpartak Varna
33.3Attack63.0
58.3Defence74.1
33.3Form74.1
44.6Power70.8
0.87xG1.84
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