Fratriavs
Rilski Sportist
COMPLETEDBulgaria · Second League · 8/1/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fratria · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Fratria are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Rilski Sportist are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Fratria hold a 34.4-point power-rating edge (70.9 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.6% in the Second League, while Fratria holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fratria
Probability
49.6%
Model confidence
49.6%
Fratria has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40