Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fratria · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Fratria are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Marek are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Fratria hold a 27.2-point power-rating edge (70.9 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the Second League, while Fratria holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fratria
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
Fratria has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40