Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fratria · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Fratria are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Beroe are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 64.7 against 64.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.9% in the Second League, while Fratria holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fratria
Probability
35.5%
Model confidence
14.9%
Fratria has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80