GGOALVIO

Iceland · Úrvalsdeild · 8/17/2026, 7:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fram Reykjavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Lowconfidence

Fram Reykjavik are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Stjarnan are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Fram Reykjavik hold a 26.8-point power-rating edge (66.8 v 40.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.9% in the Úrvalsdeild, while Fram Reykjavik holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fram Reykjavik

Probability

73.2%

Model confidence

7.9%

Fram Reykjavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fram ReykjavikLWDWW

GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
StjarnanWWLLW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Fram ReykjavikStjarnan
84.3Attack62.7
43.1Defence15.7
72.5Form35.3
66.8Power40.0
4.50xG1.86
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