Fram Reykjavikvs
Stjarnan
SCHEDULEDIceland · Úrvalsdeild · 8/17/2026, 7:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fram Reykjavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
Fram Reykjavik are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Stjarnan are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Fram Reykjavik hold a 26.8-point power-rating edge (66.8 v 40.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.9% in the Úrvalsdeild, while Fram Reykjavik holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fram Reykjavik
Probability
73.2%
Model confidence
7.9%
Fram Reykjavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60