GGOALVIO

Iceland · Úrvalsdeild · 4/12/2026, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fram Reykjavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Fram Reykjavik are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while IA Akranes are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Fram Reykjavik hold an 18.4-point power-rating edge (63.2 v 44.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.6% in the Úrvalsdeild, while Fram Reykjavik holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fram Reykjavik

Probability

66.6%

Model confidence

66.6%

Fram Reykjavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fram ReykjavikWDLWL

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
IA AkranesLWLWW

GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Fram ReykjavikIA Akranes
83.3Attack55.6
37.0Defence33.3
68.5Form40.7
63.2Power44.8
3.91xG1.87
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