Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forward · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Forward are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Nyköping are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Forward hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (65.7 v 61.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.9% in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand, while Forward holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Forward
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
13.9%
Forward has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40