Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forward · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Forward are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Karlslund are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Forward hold a 23.6-point power-rating edge (65.7 v 42.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.8% in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand, while Forward holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Forward
Probability
69.8%
Model confidence
69.8%
Forward has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00