Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forward · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Forward are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Fittja are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Forward hold a 15.4-point power-rating edge (65.7 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.8% in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand, while Forward holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Forward
Probability
66.7%
Model confidence
8.8%
Forward has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80