Forward Madisonvs
Richmond Kickers
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 7/16/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forward Madison · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Forward Madison are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Richmond Kickers are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Forward Madison hold a 28.4-point power-rating edge (64.5 v 36.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 81.0% in the USL League One, while Forward Madison holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Forward Madison
Probability
81.0%
Model confidence
81.0%
Forward Madison has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80