GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 7/16/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Forward Madison · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Forward Madison are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Richmond Kickers are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Forward Madison hold a 28.4-point power-rating edge (64.5 v 36.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 81.0% in the USL League One, while Forward Madison holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Forward Madison

Probability

81.0%

Model confidence

81.0%

Forward Madison has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Forward MadisonWWWDW

GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Richmond KickersWDLLL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Forward MadisonRichmond Kickers
66.7Attack31.6
64.9Defence38.6
63.2Form31.6
64.5Power36.1
2.87xG0.56
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