GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 6/21/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Forward Madison · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Forward Madison are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while NY Cosmos are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Forward Madison hold a 32.0-point power-rating edge (64.5 v 32.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 85.0% in the USL League One, while Forward Madison holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Forward Madison

Probability

85.0%

Model confidence

85.0%

Forward Madison has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Forward MadisonDWLLW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
NY CosmosLLLLL

GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Forward MadisonNY Cosmos
66.7Attack33.3
64.9Defence29.8
63.2Form24.6
64.5Power32.5
3.32xG0.59
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