GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 8/13/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Forward Madison · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Forward Madison are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Greenville Triumph are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Forward Madison hold a 25.8-point power-rating edge (65.5 v 39.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.3% in the USL League One, while Forward Madison holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Forward Madison

Probability

78.9%

Model confidence

13.3%

Forward Madison has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Forward MadisonLWWWW

GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Greenville TriumphLDWLL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
68.5Attack37.0
64.8Defence42.6
64.8Form33.3
65.5Power39.7
2.74xG0.66
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