Forward Madisonvs
Greenville Triumph
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 8/13/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forward Madison · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Forward Madison are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Greenville Triumph are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Forward Madison hold a 25.8-point power-rating edge (65.5 v 39.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.3% in the USL League One, while Forward Madison holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Forward Madison
Probability
78.9%
Model confidence
13.3%
Forward Madison has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00