GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 7/30/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Forward Madison · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Forward Madison are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Chattanooga Red Wolves are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Forward Madison hold a 7.2-point power-rating edge (64.5 v 57.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.6% in the USL League One, while Forward Madison holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Forward Madison

Probability

54.6%

Model confidence

54.6%

Forward Madison has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Forward MadisonWWWWW

GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Chattanooga Red WolvesWWWLL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Forward MadisonChattanooga Red Wolves
66.7Attack59.3
64.9Defence53.7
63.2Form57.4
64.5Power57.4
2.03xG1.12
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