GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 6/14/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Forward Madison · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Forward Madison are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Boise are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Forward Madison hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (64.5 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.4% in the USL League One, while Forward Madison holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Forward Madison

Probability

59.4%

Model confidence

59.4%

Forward Madison has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Forward MadisonLLWLL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
BoiseWLDLL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Forward MadisonBoise
66.7Attack49.2
64.9Defence54.0
63.2Form54.0
64.5Power54.1
2.04xG0.92
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