GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/11/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Genk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Fortuna Sittard are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Genk are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Genk hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (52.2 v 58.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Genk holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Genk

Probability

38.6%

Model confidence

38.6%

Genk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fortuna SittardWLWLL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
GenkWWDWD

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Fortuna SittardGenk
62.5Attack77.8
45.8Defence48.1
50.0Form51.9
52.2Power58.4
2.05xG2.32
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