GGOALVIO

Netherlands · Eredivisie · 8/15/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fortuna Sittard · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Fortuna Sittard are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Cambuur are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortuna Sittard hold a 38.3-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.9% in the Eredivisie, while Fortuna Sittard holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fortuna Sittard

Probability

53.2%

Model confidence

10.9%

Fortuna Sittard has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fortuna SittardDLWLL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
CambuurLWLDD

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Fortuna SittardCambuur
66.7Attack0.0
33.3Defence0.0
33.3Form0.0
45.3Power7.0
1.99xG1.24
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