GGOALVIO

Norway · Toppserien · 4/24/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fortuna Ålesund W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Fortuna Ålesund W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Rosenborg W are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortuna Ålesund W hold a 6.6-point power-rating edge (73.0 v 66.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.4% in the Toppserien, while Fortuna Ålesund W holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fortuna Ålesund W

Probability

51.4%

Model confidence

51.4%

Fortuna Ålesund W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fortuna Ålesund WLDWWW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Rosenborg WWDDWL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Fortuna Ålesund WRosenborg W
80.6Attack59.0
63.9Defence64.1
77.8Form69.2
73.0Power66.3
1.91xG1.15
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