GGOALVIO

Norway · Toppserien · 5/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fortuna Ålesund W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Fortuna Ålesund W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Lyn W are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortuna Ålesund W hold a 17.2-point power-rating edge (72.2 v 55.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.7% in the Toppserien, while Fortuna Ålesund W holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fortuna Ålesund W

Probability

52.6%

Model confidence

11.7%

Fortuna Ålesund W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fortuna Ålesund WWWLDW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Lyn WWWDDW

GF 14 · GA 1 · avg 2.80/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Fortuna Ålesund WLyn W
81.8Attack60.6
63.6Defence66.7
75.8Form48.5
72.2Power55.0
1.87xG1.15
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