GGOALVIO

Norway · Toppserien · 5/15/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fortuna Ålesund W · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Fortuna Ålesund W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Hønefoss W are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortuna Ålesund W hold a 44.2-point power-rating edge (73.0 v 28.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 92.3% in the Toppserien, while Fortuna Ålesund W holds the strongest overall chance at 92% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fortuna Ålesund W

Probability

92.3%

Model confidence

92.3%

Fortuna Ålesund W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fortuna Ålesund WWWWLD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Hønefoss WLLLLW

GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Fortuna Ålesund WHønefoss W
80.6Attack27.8
63.9Defence27.8
77.8Form22.2
73.0Power28.8
4.29xG0.49
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