GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fortuna Koln · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Fortuna Koln are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while TuS Koblenz are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and TuS Koblenz hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (65.1 v 75.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Fortuna Koln holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fortuna Koln

Probability

35.5%

Model confidence

35.5%

Fortuna Koln has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fortuna KolnDWLWL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
TuS KoblenzLLLWW

GF 13 · GA 12 · avg 2.60/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Fortuna KolnTuS Koblenz
66.7Attack100.0
75.0Defence66.7
62.5Form76.2
65.1Power75.4
1.61xG1.53
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