GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/13/2026, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fortuna Koln · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Fortuna Koln are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Chemnitzer FC are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Chemnitzer FC hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (65.1 v 67.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Fortuna Koln holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fortuna Koln

Probability

44.2%

Model confidence

44.2%

Fortuna Koln has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fortuna KolnWWWDD

GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Chemnitzer FCDDDLD

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Fortuna KolnChemnitzer FC
66.7Attack58.3
75.0Defence75.0
62.5Form66.7
65.1Power67.6
1.83xG1.06
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