Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forte FC · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Forte FC are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (LDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Pinheiros are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Forte FC hold a 47.9-point power-rating edge (61.4 v 13.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 79.5% in the Capixaba B, while Forte FC holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Forte FC
Probability
79.5%
Model confidence
79.5%
Forte FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60