Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forte FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Forte FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while GEL are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Forte FC hold a 13.4-point power-rating edge (61.4 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.3% in the Capixaba B, while Forte FC holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Forte FC
Probability
52.3%
Model confidence
52.3%
Forte FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 3 · GA 18 · avg 0.60/3.60