GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 2/7/2026, 11:20:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santa Fe · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Fortaleza FC are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Santa Fe are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Fe hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (46.3 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the Primera A, while Santa Fe holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Santa Fe

Probability

43.2%

Model confidence

43.2%

Santa Fe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fortaleza FCDDDWL

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Santa FeWDDDL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Fortaleza FCSanta Fe
37.7Attack51.3
55.1Defence64.1
39.1Form50.0
46.3Power55.9
0.84xG1.30
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