Fortaleza FCvs
Deportivo Pasto
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 3/25/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fortaleza FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Fortaleza FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Deportivo Pasto are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Pasto hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (46.3 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.3% in the Primera A, while Fortaleza FC holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fortaleza FC
Probability
35.3%
Model confidence
35.3%
Fortaleza FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60