GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 2/16/2026, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fortaleza FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Fortaleza FC are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Chico are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortaleza FC hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (46.3 v 30.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.6% in the Primera A, while Fortaleza FC holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fortaleza FC

Probability

59.6%

Model confidence

59.6%

Fortaleza FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fortaleza FCLDDDD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
ChicoWLLDL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Fortaleza FCChico
37.7Attack23.8
55.1Defence34.9
39.1Form27.0
46.3Power30.2
1.64xG0.57
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