Fortaleza FCvs
Alianza Valledupar
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 1/17/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fortaleza FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Fortaleza FC are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Alianza Valledupar are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortaleza FC hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (46.3 v 37.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.4% in the Primera A, while Fortaleza FC holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fortaleza FC
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
47.4%
Fortaleza FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40