Fortaleza ECvs
Botafogo SP
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 7/29/2026, 12:35:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Fortaleza EC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Botafogo SP are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortaleza EC hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (55.5 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the Serie B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40