Fort Waynevs
Spokane Velocity
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 7/4/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Fort Wayne are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Spokane Velocity are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Spokane Velocity hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 54.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.7% in the USL League One, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60