GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 7/4/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Fort Wayne are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Spokane Velocity are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Spokane Velocity hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 54.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.7% in the USL League One, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.7%

Model confidence

36.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fort WayneWDDLD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Spokane VelocityLWLLW

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Fort WayneSpokane Velocity
43.9Attack43.9
61.4Defence59.6
47.4Form56.1
51.6Power54.3
1.13xG0.94
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