GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 7/18/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fort Wayne · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Fort Wayne are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Greenville Triumph are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Fort Wayne hold an 11.6-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.7% in the USL League One, while Fort Wayne holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fort Wayne

Probability

54.7%

Model confidence

54.7%

Fort Wayne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fort WayneLLWWD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Greenville TriumphLDWLL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Fort WayneGreenville Triumph
43.9Attack36.8
61.4Defence43.9
47.4Form33.3
51.6Power40.1
1.65xG0.76
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