Fort Waynevs
Greenville Triumph
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 7/18/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fort Wayne · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Fort Wayne are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Greenville Triumph are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Fort Wayne hold an 11.6-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.7% in the USL League One, while Fort Wayne holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fort Wayne
Probability
54.7%
Model confidence
54.7%
Fort Wayne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00