USA · USL League One · 8/15/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fort Wayne · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Fort Wayne are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Chattanooga Red Wolves are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Chattanooga Red Wolves hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 57.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.0% in the USL League One, while Fort Wayne holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fort Wayne
Probability
35.5%
Model confidence
14.0%
Fort Wayne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00