Forgevs
HFX Wanderers FC
COMPLETEDCanada · Canadian Championship · 5/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forge · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Forge are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while HFX Wanderers FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Forge hold a 69.6-point power-rating edge (76.6 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.9% in the Canadian Championship, while Forge holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Forge
Probability
64.9%
Model confidence
64.9%
Forge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80