GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 8/1/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Swindon Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Forest Green are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Swindon Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Swindon Town hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (75.3 v 78.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Swindon Town holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Swindon Town

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

Swindon Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Forest GreenWLDWW

GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Swindon TownWLLLW

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Forest GreenSwindon Town
55.6Attack77.8
88.9Defence72.2
77.8Form83.3
75.3Power78.3
1.37xG1.77
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