GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/29/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bristol City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Forest Green are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Bristol City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bristol City hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (75.3 v 81.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Bristol City holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bristol City

Probability

34.8%

Model confidence

34.8%

Bristol City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Forest GreenLDWWL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Bristol CityWDLWL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Forest GreenBristol City
55.6Attack60.0
88.9Defence93.3
77.8Form86.7
75.3Power81.0
1.44xG1.49
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