Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Follo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Follo are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Ull/Kisa are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Follo hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (32.3 v 24.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the 2. Division - Group 2, while Follo holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Follo
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
Follo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 7 · GA 20 · avg 1.40/4.00