Fluminensevs
Vitoria
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 5/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fluminense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Fluminense are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Vitoria are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Fluminense hold a 14.6-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 42.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.6% in the Serie A, while Fluminense holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fluminense
Probability
58.6%
Model confidence
14.6%
Fluminense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20