FluminensevsSao Paulo

Fluminense are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sao Paulo are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Fluminense hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (56.1 v 49.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.5% in the Serie A, while Fluminense holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.