Fluminensevs
Corinthians
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 4/2/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Fluminense are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Corinthians are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Fluminense hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (56.1 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.6% in the Serie A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
19.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00