Fluminensevs
Chapecoense-sc
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 4/26/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fluminense · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Fluminense are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Chapecoense-sc are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Fluminense hold a 27.8-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 29.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.0% in the Serie A, while Fluminense holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fluminense
Probability
72.0%
Model confidence
72.0%
Fluminense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40