Fluminensevs
Bahia
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 7/30/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fluminense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Fluminense are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Bahia are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Fluminense hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the Serie A, while Fluminense holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fluminense
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Fluminense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00