GGOALVIO

Fluminense logoFluminensevsBahia logoBahia

COMPLETED

Brazil · Serie A · 7/30/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fluminense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Fluminense are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Bahia are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Fluminense hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the Serie A, while Fluminense holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fluminense

Probability

39.4%

Model confidence

39.4%

Fluminense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FluminenseDDWWD

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
BahiaDDWLW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
FluminenseBahia
49.3Attack46.4
59.4Defence59.4
55.1Form49.3
57.2Power53.6
1.30xG1.02
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