Fluminensevs
Atletico-MG
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 3/21/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fluminense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Fluminense are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Atletico-MG are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Fluminense hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 50.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.6% in the Serie A, while Fluminense holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fluminense
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Fluminense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40