Fluminense PIvs
Piauí
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 4/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Fluminense PI are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Piauí are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Piauí hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (47.1 v 56.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.00