Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Drita · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Floriana are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Drita are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Drita hold a 46.7-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 83.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.8% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while Drita holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Drita
Probability
53.8%
Model confidence
53.8%
Drita has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20