GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · 7/23/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

The New Saints · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Flora Tallinn are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while The New Saints are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and The New Saints hold a 24.1-point power-rating edge (28.9 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.3% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while The New Saints holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

The New Saints

Probability

40.3%

Model confidence

40.3%

The New Saints has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Flora TallinnLDLWW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
The New SaintsLLWDW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Flora TallinnThe New Saints
8.3Attack16.7
41.7Defence83.3
25.0Form50.0
28.9Power53.0
1.08xG1.38
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