Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Flora II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Flora II are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Phoenix are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Flora II hold a 27.3-point power-rating edge (54.0 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Flora II holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Flora II
Probability
46.0%
Model confidence
46.0%
Flora II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60