GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga A · 5/13/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Flora II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Lowconfidence

Flora II are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Nõmme United II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Flora II hold a 16.6-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 40.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.7% in the Esiliiga A, while Flora II holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Flora II

Probability

72.2%

Model confidence

7.7%

Flora II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Flora IILWWWW

GF 17 · GA 7 · avg 3.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Nõmme United IILDLWW

GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Flora IINõmme United II
81.8Attack59.1
40.9Defence22.7
56.1Form34.8
57.5Power40.9
4.44xG1.89
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