Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Flora II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
Flora II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Maardu are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Flora II hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 42.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.8% in the Esiliiga A, while Flora II holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 92% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Flora II
Probability
72.8%
Model confidence
72.8%
Flora II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80