Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Flora II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2
Flora II are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Elva are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Flora II hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.7% in the Esiliiga A, while Flora II holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Flora II
Probability
52.7%
Model confidence
52.7%
Flora II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 9 · avg 3.20/1.80
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40