Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nantes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Fleury 91 are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Nantes are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Nantes hold a 43.4-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 58.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Nantes holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nantes
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Nantes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20